Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000676 0.000768 0.000866 0.000978 0.001100 0.001230 0.001379
2025-09-28 0.000521 0.000646 0.000789 0.000961 0.001161 0.001387 0.001658
2025-10-05 0.000457 0.000601 0.000772 0.000986 0.001246 0.001548 0.001923
2025-10-12 0.000404 0.000561 0.000753 0.001003 0.001315 0.001689 0.002165
2025-10-19 0.000353 0.000514 0.000719 0.000994 0.001349 0.001782 0.002348
2025-10-26 0.000310 0.000473 0.000688 0.000984 0.001375 0.001866 0.002518
2025-11-02 0.000281 0.000447 0.000672 0.000992 0.001423 0.001975 0.002721
2025-11-09 0.000253 0.000419 0.000652 0.000991 0.001458 0.002065 0.002900
2025-11-16 0.000220 0.000381 0.000614 0.000961 0.001450 0.002099 0.003005
2025-11-23 0.000193 0.000350 0.000583 0.000938 0.001450 0.002141 0.003121
2025-11-30 0.000175 0.000329 0.000565 0.000934 0.001474 0.002214 0.003278
2025-12-07 0.000159 0.000311 0.000550 0.000931 0.001500 0.002291 0.003441
2025-12-14 0.000142 0.000291 0.000530 0.000920 0.001514 0.002351 0.003584
2025-12-21 0.000126 0.000269 0.000507 0.000903 0.001517 0.002396 0.003708
2025-12-28 0.000120 0.000265 0.000511 0.000928 0.001584 0.002532 0.003961
2026-01-04 0.000113 0.000257 0.000509 0.000944 0.001636 0.002649 0.004190
2026-01-11 0.000102 0.000242 0.000493 0.000936 0.001651 0.002712 0.004342
2026-01-18 0.000092 0.000228 0.000477 0.000926 0.001663 0.002769 0.004485
2026-01-25 0.000086 0.000220 0.000472 0.000934 0.001702 0.002867 0.004690
2026-02-01 0.000078 0.000210 0.000462 0.000932 0.001726 0.002943 0.004865
2026-02-08 0.000069 0.000192 0.000437 0.000904 0.001705 0.002949 0.004933
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000178 0.000417 0.000882 0.001694 0.002969 0.005024
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000169 0.000407 0.000878 0.001711 0.003033 0.005181